Index Funds/ETFs investing is pretty easy and straightforward. Many investors do not get the expected returns due to various reasons. The most important one would be trading their ETFs/Index funds rather than holding them long term.
There are two groups of people who made the most money in ETFs and index funds. I would tell who they are but let us look at the basics first,
As you know by now the ETFs/index funds that track the broad stock market ( either S&P500 or Total Stock) always go up in the long term.
S&P 500 Past Performance
Look at the performance of S&P500 as below,
The return for 10 years of S&P 500 was 191.76% from January 2010 till January 2020. The annualized return was 11.30% and if you had invested the dividend, the annualized return would be a whopping 13.53%.
However, only a small percentage of investors who invested in
Two groups of investors that can make the exact return from 2010-2020 in the S&P 500. They are,
1) Dead people who had bought the funds before 2010 and
2) Investors who have forgotten they owned/bought the index fund and kept it
So before putting your first dollar in the ETFs/Index funds, you have to promise yourself and make a vow that you would be patient and stick to your plan!
The simple plan that I am going to tell you would make you stand out and beats 80% of professional traders and fund managers! Yes, 80%! And remember to tell you unit trust agents that you won’t be seeing them forever after this.
Simple FIRE Masterplan
These are the steps for you to set up your Financial Independent, Retire Early (FIRE) masterplan,
Step 1- Decide your asset allocation
You have to decide the percentage of money to put in your equities ETFs and bond ETFs, please go to my previous post to learn how to decide on the percentage of each asset ( asset allocation)
Step 2- Buy the ETFs/index funds through your brokerage account
To make life easy for everyone, for equities/stock ETFs, I choose VUSD which tracks S&P500. If you are an American, please stick to VTSAX or VTI (tracks the total stock). You can choose VOO or VFIAX ( tracks S&P500) if you prefer. Either
For Malaysians, Singaporeans, Europeans, and Asians, VUSD which is an Irish-domiciled ETFs listed on the London Stock Exchange is a great choice. The expense ratio ( ER) is only 0.07%. There is no alternative ETFs that tracks the total US stock available in the London stock exchange.
The reason for me to choose VUSD is the withholding tax will be 15% instead of 30% if I buy VOO instead.
For the bond index, I choose VDTY, which is a USD Treasury AAA bond. You can’t get the equivalent of VTBLX or BND which is a total bond market index ( government plus corporate bond) in the London stock exchange.
The expense ratio for VDTY is also 0.07%.
You must always keep some cash ( money ) in your account. I always keep some money in hand besides my emergency fund. Remember, the worst case scenario will be force-selling of your portfolio during bear market!
Step 3- Keep Buying and Don’t Sell
Yes, keep buying and don’t sell. Set up a mechanism and keep on buying. I make it a habit of buying every 2 weeks according to my asset allocation ratio. I rebalance my portfolio yearly or there is a huge correction of more than 10%. You have to rebalance your portfolio!
Portfolio re-balancing is an art you must master for you to achieve financial independence.
Step 4- Stick to you plan
Keep on buying until you reach your financial goal. If you need USD1 million to retire, you need to keep on buying until you achieve the target. How much do you need to retire? That’s a big topic to talk about and I would walk you through this process soon.
This is the simplest way of Bogleheads investment philosophy using two portfolios – one equity/stock ETFs and one bond ETFs.
Remember for you to be successful in ETFs/index funds investing, keep your strategy simple, and stick to it!
If you would like to add in world stock exposure, there are a few considerations to
“Keep Buying and Don’t Sell”, is very hard, especially it drop 30% and regain 30% in S&P 500 recently. Timing market, can you time it twice? Correctly time out, and correctly time in the market.
Since we are talking about the 10 years period, I will point out:
Annualized Return (CAGR) on 2000 – 2010, which is only 0.36% return.
Annualized Return (CAGR) on 1964 – 1974, which is only 2.43% return.
Annualized Return (CAGR) on 1927 – 1937, which is only 3.73% return.
Annualized Return (CAGR) on 1929 – 1939, which is only -1.01% return.
http://www.moneychimp.com/features/market_cagr.htm
10 years, I still think you relying on luck to get good return. If you invest 30-40 years, the odd is always on your side, which you will fall in 8%-10% CAGR return.
Dear Nasi Lemak,
Thank you for your comment. I do realize the ‘lost decades’ you mentioned above where the 10-year return was pathetic. But I still believe in the strategy of keep on buying. Everyone knows that investing in stocks is risky, therefore holding your portfolio long term is the key. I really hate the idea of buying and selling because you will be stuck in front of a computer/handphone and keep on thinking of what to buy and sell every day.
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Hello Dr Goh, I would first like to say thank you for your informative articles! I have have been looking to invest in US ETFs using IBKR and your articles on how to fund an IBKR account from Malaysia and the information you have provided have been extremely helpful. I was hoping you can help me clear up a few questions I have from this article and others:
1. On this article you mention buying Irish-domiciled funds ETFs listed on the London Stock Exchange to get less withholding tax. Do you buy these on IBKR using USD or GBP?
2. If it is using GBP, can you fund your account using GBP by converting MYR to GBP using TransferWise like how you converted MYR to USD in this article?
https://drgohhk.com/how-to-fund-ib-using-myr/
3. I have yet to see how withdrawals from an IBKR account back to a Malaysian savings account can be made. Have you made any withdrawals from IBKR and if so how did you do it? Can you please provide an article for that as I have yet to see any solid answers online on how Malaysians can cost-efficiently withdraw from their IBKR accounts.
Thanks in advance!
Dear Marcus,
Happy you are here, for your questions,
1) I buy my ETFs in USD even though these ETFs are listed in the London Stock Exchange. Does different currency matter when buying your ETFs? The short answer is NO, if you like to read more about the reasons behind this, Andrew Hallam has a good article about this ( https://en.swissquote.lu/expat-investing/smart-investing/which-currency-should-you-pick-your-diversified-portfolio-index-funds )
2) Yes, you can convert MYR to GBP via TransferWise and send GBP to IB GBP account in London. The process is the same but you need to remember to choose GBP as your fund currency in your IB platform.
3) It can be done but to be frank, I haven’t done it before although my friends around me have done it. I will try one day and post a post on how to do it in future.
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